Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.033063 0.036017 0.038981 0.042170 0.045501 0.048870 0.052531
2026-02-08 0.028131 0.032522 0.037065 0.042094 0.047483 0.053064 0.059261
2026-02-15 0.025310 0.030822 0.036678 0.043310 0.050564 0.058211 0.066840
2026-02-22 0.022915 0.029281 0.036209 0.044213 0.053119 0.062649 0.073541
2026-03-01 0.020706 0.027713 0.035510 0.044685 0.055052 0.066286 0.079268
2026-03-08 0.018687 0.026171 0.034684 0.044871 0.056545 0.069337 0.084262
2026-03-15 0.017426 0.025401 0.034643 0.045864 0.058868 0.073251 0.090159
2026-03-22 0.015405 0.023561 0.033226 0.045155 0.059159 0.074805 0.093351
2026-03-29 0.014112 0.022523 0.032684 0.045400 0.060489 0.077485 0.097766
2026-04-05 0.013150 0.021831 0.032503 0.046024 0.062217 0.080586 0.102630
2026-04-12 0.012216 0.021106 0.032230 0.046493 0.063727 0.083409 0.107154
2026-04-19 0.010480 0.019199 0.030386 0.044973 0.062815 0.083374 0.108354
2026-04-26 0.009298 0.017987 0.029394 0.044488 0.063145 0.084810 0.111290
2026-05-03 0.008343 0.017028 0.028682 0.044318 0.063833 0.086651 0.114689
2026-05-10 0.007990 0.016916 0.029071 0.045529 0.066198 0.090472 0.120399
2026-05-17 0.007557 0.016652 0.029237 0.046439 0.068183 0.093838 0.125577
2026-05-24 0.007009 0.016172 0.029082 0.046917 0.069621 0.096541 0.129971
2026-05-31 0.006409 0.015565 0.028722 0.047105 0.070680 0.098779 0.133808
2026-06-07 0.006117 0.015431 0.029005 0.048122 0.072770 0.102251 0.139101
2026-06-14 0.005324 0.014406 0.027989 0.047394 0.072641 0.103027 0.141184
2026-06-21 0.004875 0.013925 0.027725 0.047645 0.073734 0.105273 0.145005
2026-06-28 0.004565 0.013661 0.027760 0.048286 0.075312 0.108102 0.149517
2026-07-05 0.004237 0.013335 0.027686 0.048768 0.076680 0.110668 0.153712